I know you're Tebow-ed out. We all are.

Here's the thing, though: As ugly as his passing numbers are, as horrific as his Total QBR is (if you're in the dark, that's ESPN's self-serving version of the passer rating), Tebow produces in fantasy.

Yes, he's thrown for only 526 yards in four starts this season. Overall, he's completing 44.8 percent of his passes.

In fantasy, we care strictly about points, and Tebow helps us quite a bit. He has rushed for 282 yards and a TD in four starts, and he has six TD passes, compared to one interception, in that span.

Yes, it's ugly. But Trent Dilfer, Cris Carter, Tom Jackson and every other ESPN analyst have nothing to do with your fantasy team.

Play Tebow. And don't listen to the nonstop, ESPN-manufactured banter.

START

Jets: RB Shonn Greene, WR Santonio Holmes, defense/special teams, K Nick Folk

Broncos: QB Tim Tebow

Quick slants: Greene should get a significant amount of touches with LaDainian Tomlinson out because of a knee injury. Greene has been disappointing (563 rushing yards, two TDs), but the combination of Tomlinson's absence and Denver's struggles against the run (the Broncos are allowing 129.4 rushing yards in their last five games) are enough to play him tonight. ... Holmes' season stats aren't nearly as impressive as the contract extension he signed, but the former Steeler has three TDs in last five games and caught six passes for 93 yards last week. ... The Jets' defense ranks eighth in total yards allowed (326.8), eighth in passing and 15th against the run. ... Folk has 61 points -- but only 14 field-goal attempts -- in nine games. He should get more chances for field goals tonight. Denver's opponents are 18-for-18 on three-pointers this season (yes, I'm one of the few who misses the NBA).

SIT

Jets: QB Mark Sanchez, RB LaDainian Tomlinson, WR Plaxico Burress, TE Dustin Keller

Broncos: RB Willis McGahee, RB Lance Ball, WR Eric Decker, defense/special teams, K Matt Prater

Quick slants: It's a sit-heavy fantasy contest. Sanchez has decent numbers (2,081 yards, 14 TDs, nine interceptions), but he has two TD passes and three interceptions in his last two games. And there's the fact that if you play in a 10- or 12-team league, there is no way he should be considered a starter. ... Burress has six touchdowns, but three were in one game (Oct. 23 against the Chargers). He has had just three games with more than three receptions and none with 80 yards or more. ... Both of Keller's touchdowns were in the Jets' first two games. The tight end had 17 receptions for 249 yards in his first three games, and has 14 catches for 224 yards and zero TDs in his last six. ... McGahee will be a game-time decision because of a hamstring injury. The Jets aren't great against the run (they are allowing 116 rushing yards per game and have given up nine scores on the ground), but the threat of McGahee, should he be active, exiting early for the second straight week outweighs the possibility he will have his second huge game in three weeks. ... I wouldn't play Ball unless you're desperate at running back, but if McGahee sits, he's a much more intriguing option, mostly because the Broncos figure to run much more than they throw. Ball had 30 carries for 96 yards last week and has only one TD on 61 touches this season. ... Decker has a TD in three straight games and has seven scores on the year. With Tebow as Denver's starting QB, however, Decker has 12 catches in four games, compared to 22 in five games with Kyle Orton starting. Then there's this: Decker could be stranded on Revis Island. A quick rule of thumb: When in doubt, sit a team's best wideout when the Jets are the opponent. ... The Broncos' defense ranks 18th in yards allowed (360.7), 29th in scoring (26 points per game), 20th against the pass and 16th vs. the run. ... Prater has only 46 points in nine games. He has missed five of 14 field-goal attempts.

If you have Hakeem Nicks, today was a bad day.

If you have Randy Moss, it likely has been a bad year.

Monday, it was announced Nicks will miss at least the Giants' next three games because of a nerve condition in his lower right leg. That takes the Giants receiver out of your lineup through at least Week 14, which means you won't get your No. 1 receiver back until the fantasy semifinals, if at all.

Mario Manningham likely isn't available on your league's waiver wire. If he is, however, he should be priority No. 1, since the Giants also will be without Steve Smith for at least one more week. Manningham -- who had 10 receptions for 91 yards and a TD in Week 10 (New York's first game without Smith) -- is now Eli Manning's top target.

The good news, at least if you have Manningham: Sunday, the Giants will play host to the Jags, who entered Week 11 ranked 28th in the NFL defending the pass.

A few more thoughts as we get set to play the second-to-last week of the fantasy regular season:

-- If you're desperate for a running back, Carolina's Mike Goodson has had back-to-back 100-yard games for a terrible team. Goodson has rushed for 220 yards on 45 carries the last two weeks, and Sunday he will face the Browns, who were No. 21 vs. the run before Maurice Jones-Drew ran over them in Week 11. If you do acquire Goodson, keep this in mind: He's only valuable if Jonathan Stewart is sidelined. The latter has missed Carolina's last two games because of a concussion.

START 'EM

-- Nate Burleson, WR, Lions: He has 31 receptions in his last five games. In his last three, he has a combined 18 catches for 257 yards and two touchdowns.

-- Santonio Holmes, WR, Jets: This is an obvious one, but Holmes likely wasn't in many starting lineups until his recent three-game surge. The former Buckeye had zero TDs in his first three games back from suspension, but has a score in two consecutive games and a combined 17 receptions for 316 yards and three TDs in his last three.

-- Mike Williams, WR, Seahawks: I've never been a believer, but it's hard to ignore the fact Williams has had four big games in his last six. He's had three games with 10 or more receptions in that span, and three with 109 yards or more.

-- Mike Thomas, WR, Jaguars: With Mike Sims-Walker banged up, Thomas has scored in three consecutive games and has 13 catches for 185 yards in his last two contests.

-- Steve Breaston, WR, Cardinals: This is for deeper PPR leagues only. Since returning from a knee injury, Breaston has 20 receptions for 365 yards in four games.

SIT 'EM

-- Steve Smith, WR, Panthers: The Panthers' QBs have combined to crush Smith's value. The volatile one has been held out of the end zone in five consecutive games and has 34 catches for 411 yards and two TDs in nine games on the season. Smith has had 50 receiving yards or fewer in six of his last seven.

DROP 'EM

-- Clinton Portis, RB, Redskins: If you need the roster space, it's OK to let go of Portis even after he returned from a groin injury. The ailment limited him to five carries for 32 yards last week, and Keiland Williams (68 yards rushing, six catches for 27 yards Sunday) has emerged as Washington's featured back with Ryan Torain battling a hamstring injury.

-- Randy Moss, WR, Titans: It's almost unfathomable to consider dropping a healthy receiver you selected in the top 10 overall, but Moss has all of two catches for 34 yards in his last three games. Sunday, he was shut out.

-- Brett Favre, QB, Vikings: It's Legends Week in the drop section, as Favre had another touchdown-less game Sunday. He has 10 TDs and 17 interceptions on the year, and he's thrown for 250 yards or more three times in 10 games.

Stat of the week

15: Total yards receiving by the Cowboys' Dez Bryant (three catches for 8 yards) and Miles Austin (two for 7 yards) on Sunday against the Lions. The pair combined for three TDs -- scores of 1, 3 and 4 yards.

We'll get to much more in the next couple of days, but first our weekly rapid-fire reaction from the week that was (albeit a day later than you and I would like):

Start 'em

-- Fred Jackson, RB, Bills: With C.J. Spiller out at least a week with a hamstring injury and Marshawn Lynch in Seattle, the carries are all Jackson's. The latter had 25 rushes for 133 yards and a TD, along with six receptions for 37 yards and a score, last week against Detroit. Sunday, Buffalo will face Cincinnati, which ranks 22nd vs. the run and has given up eight TDs on the ground.

-- Santonio Holmes, WR, Jets: He has 10 receptions for 190 yards and a TD in his last two games (I'm guessing you remember the touchdown all too well), after compiling 10 catches for 131 yards and zero scores in his first three contests back from a four-game suspension. This week, the Jets face the Texans, who are allowing 301 yards passing per game and have yielded a league-worst 22 TD tosses.

-- Mario Manningham, WR, Giants: He has three touchdowns in his last four games, and in his first game with Steve Smith out, Manningham had 10 receptions for 91 yards and a TD last week. He's a must-play as long as Smith is out, which could be a few more games.

-- Jermaine Greshman, TE, Bengals: This is for deep leagues only. The rookie had the best game of his career last week, catching nine passes for 85 yards and a TD at Indy. He's had four or more catches in six of nine games, and Sunday he'll face the Bills, who have allowed 18 TD passes and totaled only two interceptions.

Sit 'em

-- Randy Moss, WR, Titans: I would dismiss him completely, but Tennessee's schedule the next three weeks -- the Redskins at home, at the Texans, home against the Jaguars -- is tempting. The three teams rank 29th (Jags), 31st (Redskins) and 32nd (Texans) against the pass and have allowed a combined 59 touchdown passes, compared to 22 interceptions, this season. Regardless, I have a difficult time playing a receiver who has five receptions for 64 yards and zero touchdowns in his last three games. The zero also matches how much Moss seems to care these days.

-- Jahvid Best, RB, Lions: If you can afford to make this move, I would. The rookie scored five TDs in his first two games, but has none since. On the season, he's averaging 3.1 yards per carry and has yet to hit the 400-yard mark on the ground.

Stat of the week

1: Touchdown by Brandon Marshall this season. The Dolphins receiver scored in Week 3, and hasn't reached the end zone since. In the six-game scoreless span, Marshall has 33 catches for 362 yards.

Last season, Marshall had 101 receptions for 1,120 yards and 10 TDs for the Broncos. This year, he's on pace to come close to matching his 2009 totals in receptions and yards (98 for 1,159), while falling eight or nine TDs shy of his 10 from a year ago.

All of which begs the question: Are we witnessing possibly the worst 100-catch season in history?

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If you're a diehard Ohio State fan, Santonio Holmes might have disappointed you.

If you're a Browns fan, the Steelers' dumping of their leading receiver likely thrilled you.

If you're a Twitter follower of Holmes, the wideout might have told you where to go.

If you're a fantasy football fan, you might have contemplated the possibility of the trade of Holmes to the Jets damaging the value of at least four players.

Without trying to predict what will happen to each team's running game, let's take stock of the aftermath. The result could be even more joy for Browns fans -- Braylon Edwards' fantasy value plummeting like a hard-thrown pass that touches his fingertips.

GOING UP

-- Mike Walace, WR, Steelers: The Ole Miss product was impressive as a rookie, catching 39 passes for 756 yards (19.6 yards per reception) and six touchdowns. Those numbers figure to jump with Holmes gone and Wallace the Steelers' likely No. 2 receiver.

GOING DOWN

-- Santonio Holmes, WR, Jets: Holmes will be suspended for the season's first four games, then go from catching passes from Ben Roethlisberger to fielding throws from Mark Sanchez in a run-first offense. If Holmes would have stayed put and stayed out of trouble, he likely would have been a top-10 fantasy receiver entering 2010. He was seventh in the NFL with 1,248 receiving yards in 2009, but he'll be lucky to reach 800 this year.

-- Ben Roethlisberger, QB, Steelers: Holmes' counterpart on the gossip sites will miss his top target, and he could miss a game or two to begin the season, depending on whether Roger Goodell and/or the Steelers decide to send a message by suspending the troubled QB. Big Ben threw for a career-high 4,328 yards and had the second-best TD total (28, including two rushing scores) and passer rating (100.5) of his career. With Hines Ward, Wallace, Heath Miller, Antwaan Randle El and maybe even Limas Sweed, he still will have weapons at his disposal. But it's fair to assume he won't reach 4,000 yards with Holmes gone.

-- Braylon Edwards and Jerricho Cotchery, WRs, Jets: Edwards' no-contest plea to misdemeanor aggravated disorderly conduct in Cleveland could earn the butterfingered one a suspension. Even if Edwards is available for all 16 games, he is at best the Jets' No. 2 target when Holmes is in the lineup. Cotchery, meanwhile, has averaged 73 receptions the last four seasons, but he has scored only 16 touchdowns in that span and might not even start by Week 5. At best, Edwards and Cotchery figure to be lower-level No. 3 receivers in 12-team leagues.

GOING NOWHERE

-- Hines Ward, WR, Steelers: Ward just turned 34 and prior to the 2009 Super Bowl was unquestionably Pittsburgh's top receiving threat. Holmes' departure shouldn't mean a dip or spike in Ward's numbers, since the latter, when healthy, seems to catch between 80 and 90 passes for 1,000 to 1,300 yards, no matter who joins him as running mates. Ward's 95 catches and 1,167 yards in 2009 both were good for the second-highest totals of his 12-year career.

STILL NOT AN OPTION

-- Mark Sanchez, QB, Jets: Yes, he helped the Jets get to the AFC championship game as a rookie. But he might have made more of an impact on the pages of GQ than he did on the field during the regular season, when he threw eight more interceptions (20) than touchdown passes (12). At best, he's a lower-level No. 2 QB in a 12-team league entering the season -- especially considering 17 quarterbacks threw for 3,553 yards or more and 18 had at least 20 TD passes last season.

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Brady Quinn has thrown for 675 yards and accounted for eight touchdowns (seven passing and one rushing) in his last three games. In that same span, the once-vaunted Steelers defense -- minus safety Troy Polamalu -- has allowed Matt Cassel, Joe Flacco and Bruce Gradkowski to throw for a combined 845 yards and six touchdowns, with zero picks.

All of which might tempt a desperate owner to think with his heart and not his head and start Quinn tonight against the Steelers.

One word of advice: Don't. As well as Quinn played in parts of losses to the Lions and Chargers, he still should not be in anyone's fantasy lineup -- especially in Week 14, which should mark the start of your league's postseason. Quinn is no better than a No. 2 QB in fantasy, and that would have to be as a low-end No. 2 in 12- and 14-team leagues.

Before we get to the rest of the start-and-sit list, here are a few notes on the defenses:

-- The Steelers have the No. 5 overall defense and are the league's best against the run, giving up only 77.8 rushing yards per game and 3.6 yards per attempt. Pittsburgh has allowed three rushing TDs in 12 games.

-- The Steelers are much more ordinary against the pass, the area at which Polamalu's injury is most evident. Pittsburgh is No. 17 vs. the pass and has only eight interceptions, compared to 15 TD passes allowed.

-- The Browns are the league's worst defense at 400.3 total yards per game, and Cleveland ranks 29th vs. the run (154.2 yards per game, 14 TDs) and 26th against the pass (246 yards per game, 18 TDs, six picks).

START

Steelers: QB Ben Roethlisberger, RB Rashard Mendenhall, WR Santonio Holmes, TE Heath Miller, K Jeff Reed, defense and special teams

Browns: None

Quick slants: The assumption here is Hines Ward will not play because of a hamstring injury. If he is active, start the Steelers' receiving leader (72 receptions, 922 yards, six TDs). ... Roethlisberger threw for 417 yards, two TDs and one pick in the Steelers' win over the Browns in Week 6. He has thrown for 3,145 yards in 11 games, a total that is 368 shy of his career high of 3,513, set in 2006. ... Mendenhall has rushed for 842 yards in nine games as the Steelers' lead back. He has six TDs in that span. ... Holmes, who had five catches for 104 yards in the last meeting against the Browns, has scored a TD in two straight games and has 34 receptions for 490 yards in his last five contests. ... Miller, who had five catches for 80 yards and a score in Week 6 vs. the Browns, has only two catches for 29 yards in his last two games. He had 54 receptions for 490 yards and five TDs in the first 10. ... The Steelers forced four turnovers and had a pair of sacks in the last meeting against the Browns. ... Reed had nine points in the Steelers' 27-14 victory.

SIT

Steelers: WR Mike Wallace (if Ward is active)

Browns: QB Brady Quinn, RB Jerome Harrison, RB Chris Jennings, WR Mohamed Massaquoi, K Phil Dawson, defense and special teams

Quick slants: Quinn's eight TDs in the last three games are three better than the Browns' team total on offense in the first nine games. ... Harrison, who has battled an illness all week, is probable for tonight. He was effective last week (35 yards rushing, seven catches for 62 yards and two TDs), but shouldn't be much of a fantasy option until Weeks 15 and 16, when the Browns play at Kansas City and play host to Oakland. ... Massaquoi has two TDs in his last three games, but has only three catches for 36 yards in his last two. ... Dawson, who has 29 points in seven games, scored a combined 228 in 32 games from 2007-08.

Vegas oddsmakers — and we’ve learned to never mess with them — predict Thursday’s Titans-Steelers game will be the lowest-scoring of the NFL’s opening weekend, with the over-under set at 35 points.

Pittsburgh led the league a year ago by allowing only 13.9 points per game, followed by Tennessee at 14.6.

Does that mean you should bench Chris Johnson or Hines Ward?

To quote Chad Ochocino: Child please (or would it be kiss the baby?).

On to the first start and sit of the season ...

START ’EM

-- Santonio Holmes and Hines Ward, WRs, Steelers: Holmes was the Super Bowl hero, but Ward is the better player and fantasy option. Both had productive games in the Steelers’ 31-14 loss at Tennessee in Week 16 of last season. Ward caught seven passes for 109 yards and a touchdown against the Titans, and Holmes had five for 93 and a score.

-- Chris Johnson, RB, Titans: The Steelers had the league’s No. 1 overall defense and were No. 2 vs. the run last season, allowing only 76.9 rushing yards per game and 3.3 per carry. Still, I wouldn’t sit Johnson, a first-round pick in fantasy who had 69 yards and a TD last year against the Steelers.

-- Pittsburgh’s defense and special teams: The unit that ranked first overall, first against the pass and second vs. the run returns almost intact.

-- Tennessee’s defense and special teams: Don’t expect the Titans to shut down the Steelers in their home opener, but if you drafted their defense, which ranked sixth vs. the run and ninth vs. the pass in 2008, there’s no need to acquire another just for one week.

SIT ’EM

-- Ben Roethlisberger, QB, Steelers: He’s a fringe fantasy starter, but there are much better Week 1 matchups than this.

-- Willie Parker, RB, Steelers: He was disappointing in 2008, when he scored only five times and finished nine yards short of 800 on the ground, and I wouldn’t expect a huge game here, even with Albert Haynesworth in Washington.

-- Heath Miller, TE, Steelers: He was effective last season at Tennessee (eight catches for 69 yards), but his biggest value to the Steelers is his blocking.

-- LenDale White, RB, Titans: He’s only of much use when he reaches the end zone, and I wouldn’t expect that tonight. Considering he drew the Steelers’ ire by stomping on a Terrible Towel after the Titans’ 2008 rout, I’d say it’s a safe guess that — Patron-less offseason diet or not — he will be a target of Pittsburgh’s defense.

-- Justin Gage and Nate Washington, WRs, Titans: Washington left the Steelers to sign with the Titans in free agency, but he will be a game-time decision because of a hamstring injury. Gage is a better fantasy player, one who had five receptions for 104 yards and a TD against Pittsburgh last season, but I wouldn’t anticipate a repeat at Heinz Field.

-- Bo Scaife, TE, Titans: He is an effective tight end in point-per-reception leagues, but he scored only two TDs last season and shouldn’t get anywhere close at Pittsburgh.