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News-Herald Assistant Sports Editor Kevin Kleps doesn’t just write headlines and stories. He also checks on his fantasy sports teams. A lot. See if the moves and news from the world of sports affect your fantasy teams.

Tuesday, October 16, 2012

Fantasy football: Week 7 waiver-wire picks

I'm not saying you should start Brandon Weeden this week.

You shouldn't.

Here is what I am saying, er, writing: The Browns' rookie quarterback is on pace to throw for 4,051 yards and 19 touchdowns. In his last two games, he has thrown for 522 yards and four TDs.

Sunday, the Browns will play at the Colts, who rank third against the pass, allowing an average of 201 yards per game, but are tied for 22nd with 10 touchdown passes given up -- in five games.

I'm aware Weeden is a walking turnover -- a league-high 10 interceptions.

I'm aware he might be throwing to Josh Gordon, Ben Watson and The Uncatchables. (Gordon, Watson and The Stonehands? I'm open to suggestions.)

The only reason I'm bringing Weeden up is there are six teams on a bye this week, and four of them have Matt Ryan, Peyton Manning, Philip Rivers and Michael Vick at quarterback. (Or maybe you have Vick or Rivers and are encouraging them to take a week off.)

If you play in a very deep league (say, 16 teams) ... and your starting QB is off ... and you're desperate for a one-week fill-in ... Weeden might not be terrible Sunday.

That's my ringing endorsement.

That brings us to this week's waiver-wire selections. And a reminder: We wrote about Felix Jones -- the top target in many leagues this week -- on Monday. He's not ranked below because he is owned in 51.3 percent of the ESPN leagues -- a number that seems too high.

As always, we only consider players who are available in more than half of the leagues on ESPN.com, and we like to go much lower than that.

On to the rankings:

QUARTERBACKS
1. Christian Ponder, Vikings (owned in 36.7 percent of the ESPN leagues)
2. Russell Wilson, Seahawks (12.3)
3. Brandon Weeden, Browns (6.0)
4. Ryan Tannehill, Dolphins (6.2)
5. Matt Hasselbeck, Titans (6.7)
Dropped out: Kevin Kolb, Cardinals; Mark Sanchez, Jets
Just missed the cut: John Skelton, Cardinals (1.9 percent)

RUNNING BACKS
1. Alex Green, Packers (28.4 percent)
2. William Powell, Cardinals (3.2)
3. Vick Ballard, Colts (32.0)
4. Montario Hardesty, Browns (0.4)
5. LaRod Stephens-Howling, Cardinals (23.7)
Dropped out: James Starks, Packers; Brandon Bolden, Patriots
Just missed the cut: Bolden (26.6 percent); Danny Woodhead, Patriots (15.6); Dexter McCluster, Chiefs (9.0); Joique Bell, Lions (3.0); Cedric Peerman, Bengals (0.1)

WIDE RECEIVERS
1. Randall Cobb, Packers (36.0 percent)
2. Kendall Wright, Titans (13.2)
3. Josh Gordon, Browns (2.5)
4. Davone Bess, Dolphins (9.7)
5. Brandon Stokley, Broncos (11.4)
Dropped out: Andre Roberts, Cardinals (now owned in 50.6 percent of the ESPN leagues); Jeremy Kerley, Jets (44.3); Andrew Hawkins, Bengals
Just missed the cut: Hawkins (31.0 percent); Donnie Avery, Colts (7.4); Brandon Gibson, Rams (24.8); Domenik Hixon, Giants (17.0); Stephen Hill, Jets (15.1); Santana Moss, Redskins (10.4); Michael Jenkins, Vikings (0.1)

TIGHT ENDS
1. Jermaine Gresham, Bengals (32.2 percent)
2. Greg Olsen, Panthers (25.9)
3. Brandon Myers, Raiders (1.6)
4. Joel Dreessen, Broncos (5.1)
5. Coby Fleener, Colts (13.7)
Dropped out: Scott Chandler, Bills (now owned in 46.1 percent of the ESPN leagues)
Just missed the cut: Anthony Fasano, Dolphins (2.0 percent)

Past waiver-wire picks: Week 2, Week 3, Week 4, Week 5, Week 6

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Tuesday, September 13, 2011

Fantasy football: Week 2 waiver-wire picks

If you drafted Steven Jackson, we can only hope you had a backup plan in mind.

Ditto for Marques Colston.

Let's play the waiver-wire game, and hope Jackson doesn't stub his toe on the way to the trainer's room this week.

1. Devery Henderson, WR, Saints (owned in 15.1 percent of the leagues on ESPN.com): We believe he's the best available free agent this week (unless you play in a very shallow league) because of injuries to Colston and Lance Moore. Colston is expected to miss four weeks because of a broken collarbone, and Moore sat last week with a groin injury. Henderson had six receptions for 100 yards and a touchdown on Thursday at Green Bay. It was his first 100-yard game since 2009 and he has only 18 TDs in 93 career games, so don't get too excited if he's available. But he is capable of making a big play (Henderson's career average is 18.6 yards per catch), and Drew Brees has to throw to a wideout other than Robert Meachem.

2. Cadillac Williams, RB, Rams (14.3 percent): Jackson strained his quad on his opening carry of the season -- a 47-yard touchdown run -- leading to a flashback game from Williams. The Cadillac, who hasn't averaged more than 3.9 yards per carry in a season since his 1,178-yard rookie year (2005), had 19 carries for 91 yards and five catches for 49 yards last week. With Jackson out at least this week, Williams will be the Rams' primary back Monday against the Giants.

3. Dustin Keller, TE, Jets (40.8 percent): He had five catches for 61 yards and a TD last week. Keller is underrated after a productive 2010 (55 receptions for 687 yards and five scores) and should be considered a lower-level starting tight end in a 12-team league.

Five other possible free agents of note:

-- Ryan Fitzpatrick, QB, Bills (41.9 percent): We ranked him as the top Peyton Manning replacement option last week, and all Fitzpatrick did Sunday was throw for 208 yards and four TDs at Kansas City. That gives him 27 TDs and 15 interceptions in 14 games dating to the start of 2010.

-- Aaron Hernandez, TE, Patriots (35.1 percent): We like Rob Gronkowski better, and Tom Brady might, too, but when the Pats throw for 517 yards, there are plenty of catches to go around. Hernandez had seven receptions for 103 yards and a TD on Monday night, slightly better than Gronkowski's six catches for 86 yards and a score. Both are quality starting options, and both are better than Chad Ochocinco, who had all of one catch in his New England debut.

-- Ben Tate, RB, Texans (33.5 percent): If you own Arian Foster, we're assuming you already have Tate. If not, it might be too late after the latter rushed for 116 yards and a TD on 24 carries against the Colts. Derrick Ward, who was expected to split the carries last week with Foster out, sprained his ankle, allowing Tate to show he can be a featured back. Foster might return this week, and if he does, Tate is a fantasy reserve. Regardless, he's a must-have for anyone who invested a first-round pick on Foster.

-- Nate Burleson, WR, Lions (18.7 percent): He had five catches for 60 yards last week and caught 55 passes for 625 yards and six TDs in 2010. If Matthew Stafford can stay healthy, Burleson should be productive enough to consider a low-end No. 3 fantasy receiver.

-- Jermaine Gresham, TE, Bengals (8.4 percent): Is it me, or are there more quality tight ends than ever before (no jokes please)? Greshman had six receptions for 58 yards and a TD last week, and he caught 52 passes as a rookie last season.

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Wednesday, November 17, 2010

Fantasy football: Quick snaps from Week 10

We'll get to much more in the next couple of days, but first our weekly rapid-fire reaction from the week that was (albeit a day later than you and I would like):

Start 'em

-- Fred Jackson, RB, Bills: With C.J. Spiller out at least a week with a hamstring injury and Marshawn Lynch in Seattle, the carries are all Jackson's. The latter had 25 rushes for 133 yards and a TD, along with six receptions for 37 yards and a score, last week against Detroit. Sunday, Buffalo will face Cincinnati, which ranks 22nd vs. the run and has given up eight TDs on the ground.

-- Santonio Holmes, WR, Jets: He has 10 receptions for 190 yards and a TD in his last two games (I'm guessing you remember the touchdown all too well), after compiling 10 catches for 131 yards and zero scores in his first three contests back from a four-game suspension. This week, the Jets face the Texans, who are allowing 301 yards passing per game and have yielded a league-worst 22 TD tosses.

-- Mario Manningham, WR, Giants: He has three touchdowns in his last four games, and in his first game with Steve Smith out, Manningham had 10 receptions for 91 yards and a TD last week. He's a must-play as long as Smith is out, which could be a few more games.

-- Jermaine Greshman, TE, Bengals: This is for deep leagues only. The rookie had the best game of his career last week, catching nine passes for 85 yards and a TD at Indy. He's had four or more catches in six of nine games, and Sunday he'll face the Bills, who have allowed 18 TD passes and totaled only two interceptions.

Sit 'em

-- Randy Moss, WR, Titans: I would dismiss him completely, but Tennessee's schedule the next three weeks -- the Redskins at home, at the Texans, home against the Jaguars -- is tempting. The three teams rank 29th (Jags), 31st (Redskins) and 32nd (Texans) against the pass and have allowed a combined 59 touchdown passes, compared to 22 interceptions, this season. Regardless, I have a difficult time playing a receiver who has five receptions for 64 yards and zero touchdowns in his last three games. The zero also matches how much Moss seems to care these days.

-- Jahvid Best, RB, Lions: If you can afford to make this move, I would. The rookie scored five TDs in his first two games, but has none since. On the season, he's averaging 3.1 yards per carry and has yet to hit the 400-yard mark on the ground.

Stat of the week

1:
Touchdown by Brandon Marshall this season. The Dolphins receiver scored in Week 3, and hasn't reached the end zone since. In the six-game scoreless span, Marshall has 33 catches for 362 yards.

Last season, Marshall had 101 receptions for 1,120 yards and 10 TDs for the Broncos. This year, he's on pace to come close to matching his 2009 totals in receptions and yards (98 for 1,159), while falling eight or nine TDs shy of his 10 from a year ago.

All of which begs the question: Are we witnessing possibly the worst 100-catch season in history?

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Thursday, October 14, 2010

Fantasy football: Tight end replacement options

If you drafted Packers tight end Jermichael Finley -- or if you're like the owner in one of my leagues who made what looked like a lopsided deal for Finley (before karma struck like an unblocked Matt Roth) -- you probably figured you didn't need a backup at the position.

After four games, you had a tight end on pace for 84 receptions for 1,204 yards, aka PPR Gold. In Week 5, however, Finley suffered a knee injury and was scheduled for surgery this week that we were led to believe would sideline him for 3 to 6 weeks.

Later in the week we learned the damage to Finley's knee was worse than originally believed, and he could be done for the season.

If you're looking for a tight end on the waiver wire, here are eight who are owned in fewer than 50 percent of the leagues on ESPN.com:

1. Brandon Pettigrew, Lions (owned in 7.8 percent of the ESPN leagues): His low ownership percentage is baffling, especially considering the 2009 first-round pick has at least six receptions in three of Detroit's five games and 91 yards or more in two of five contests. Pettigrew is on pace for 83 catches for 880 yards.

2. Aaron Hernandez, Patriots (44.1 percent):
The rookie has 17 receptions in his last three games, and the trade of Randy Moss should result in more targets and a quick end to his touchdown drought.

3. Tony Moeaki, Chiefs (11.9 percent): Another rookie, Moeaki has 16 catches for 173 yards and two TDs in four games. Dwayne Bowe has been so bad, Kansas City's best receiving threats are a tight end and a running back (Jamaal Charles).

4. Heath Miller, Steelers (46.1 percent):
We'll write more about Miller's increase in value because of Ben Roethlisberger's return in a column for Saturday's print and online editions, but here's a quick snippet: The tight end had 76 receptions for 789 yards and six TDs last season, but has been dropped in many leagues because the Steelers had the league's worst passing attack without their suspended QB.

5. John Carlson, Seahawks (23 percent):
He's not going to be a huge help in PPR formats, but Carlson can be expected to produce similar numbers to his stats from his first two NFL seasons (an average of 53 catches for 601 yards and six TDs in 2008 and '09).

6. Todd Heap, Ravens (19.8 percent): He had six receptions for 72 yards in Week 1, but has only 12 catches for 138 yards in four games since. At this point in his career, he's better suited to be a bye-week replacement option and not much more.

7. Benjamin Watson, Browns (4.6 percent): He has 20 receptions for 214 yards and one TD in his last four games. That's the good news. The bad: Rookie Colt McCoy will be his quarterback, and it might be for longer than this week's game at Pittsburgh.

8. Jermaine Gresham, Bengals (10.4 percent): Like Pettigrew, I'd expect Gresham to be a fantasy starter in Year 2, which in the latter's case is 2011. The 2010 first-round pick has had 35 receiving yards or fewer in four of five games, but is on pace for 70 catches.

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